Author: Paul Deaton

Time is flashing by in the run up to the Nov. 5, general election. I had our county organizer run walk lists for our event on Sept. 28. I hope to work some of them before then. Election day will be here in 43 days, so no time to lose.

I have only a couple of priorities. Encourage Democrats to vote. Encourage people to vote the whole ballot. Encourage voters to have friends and relatives to do likewise. That’s pretty much the ball game.

I read in the Washington Post House Speaker Mike Johnson cannot wrangle his caucus and doesn’t have the votes to prevent the government from running out of money on Sept. 30. That means he will again rely on Democrats to keep the government open. It would be an electoral disaster for Republicans to shut the government down right before the election and they know it.

Expectations for the election 43 days out are that Trump will win Iowa by a lesser margin than in 2020. Two of the U.S. House races are competitive and Democrats Christina Bohannan in first district and Lanon Baccam in third district stand a chance of flipping those seats. It is important to note that flipping five or six U.S. House seats nationally is all it would take to flip the House to Democratic control. Iowa Senate Democrats need one more seat to break the Republican super majority. They seem likely to do that, yet unlikely to flip the chamber because their numbers are so far down. In the Iowa House, Minority Leader Jennifer Konfrst said she would like to see the minority move from the current 36 to somewhere in the 40s. That, too, seems possible.

I had hoped to be out of elective politics by age 72. That won’t happen this year, and I continue to do two or three daily things related to the election. I will continue for the next 43 days.

On a cool, clear evening, a group of 20 local folks met in the nearby city for a house party hosted by Christina Bohannan’s campaign. At 49 days remaining in the campaign, the ask by the organizers was modest: volunteer for the campaign every week or two, or from four to eight times before the election. A line to sign up for volunteer shifts queued in front of the organizer’s table after everyone introduced themselves.

The big news and discussion at the event was Ann Selzer’s Iowa-Des Moines Register poll which released over the weekend. Selzer found Trump’s lead in Iowa deteriorated from +18 against Biden to +4 against Harris. “It also shows a sharp divide between men and women likely voters — Trump leads with men 59% to 32% over Harris. Harris leads with women 53% to 36%.” Four points is still a significant hill to climb, but damn!

This makes sense in Iowa where the Republican Governor and legislature pummeled public education and women’s reproductive rights during the last two general assemblies. Women are expected to play a significant role not only in this election but in restoring the American Dream.

The American what?

When I came of age after finishing graduate school, Ronald Reagan was president and despite an advanced degree, military service, and being a white male with the privilege that means, the American Dream was the stuff of legends. When I married soon after graduate school, the American Dream was on life-support. It existed for my parents, but not for me and certainly not for our child. Is the term “American Dream” still relevant? We hope so.

I’m working on a project with Thom Hartmann, whose new book, The Hidden History of the American Dream: The Demise of the Middle Class — And How to Rescue Our Future is driving this line of thought. My review will be out the week the book is published in early October.

For now, a gathering of 20 people bonded in the enterprise of electing Kamala Harris president and gaining a Democratic majority in the U.S. House will suffice. The American Dream has little chance as long as Republicans rule in our government. Who doesn’t want to be a part of electing Democrats in 2024?

In advance of her Sept. 13 trip to Johnson County, Iowa House Minority Leader Jennifer Konfrst spent time with the author talking Iowa politics.

The interview covered the prospects for Democrats to gain House seats in November, impacts of the new private school voucher program, converting support for access to abortion into votes, water and air quality in Iowa, transparency about the recent school shooting in Perry, and other topics.

The Truman Fund fund raiser she is headlining on Friday the 13th asks the question, “Tired of Being Scared?” Learn more about the event at this link.

During the interview we referred to the Harkin Institute conference on Sept. 25 and 26, Industrial Farm Animal Production, the Environment, and Public Health. Learn more about the conference here.

The full, unedited audio of my interview with Leader Konfrst can be found here.