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Living in Society

Rob Hogg Forms Exploratory Committee For US Senate

Rob Hogg
Rob Hogg

When I spoke to Rob Hogg about his July 8 announcement, he emphasized it was an exploratory committee to consider a run for U.S. Senate against incumbent Chuck Grassley. If Hogg was precise about framing the discussion, it matches his personality, and represents a desire to be clear when it comes to elections and the laws surrounding them.

Hogg has little to lose and everything to gain by running for U.S. Senate. He was re-elected to a four year term to the state senate in 2014, so his seat is secure. Already well known in Iowa as chairman of the senate judiciary committee, Hogg has a track record that goes beyond his signature issue of acting on climate change. Even if Hogg loses to Grassley, a challenge has the potential to burnish his credentials as a state-wide politician, and puts Grassley in a position where he has to organize and spend some of his campaign war chest locally. Hogg may win if he runs.

Before the 2015 legislative session, Hogg traveled around the country to promote his book America’s Climate Century: What Climate Change Means for America in the 21st Century and What Americans Can Do About It. Connections made on the book tour may translate into financial contributions to his exploratory campaign. He also toured much of Iowa speaking on climate change.

Mitigating the causes of climate change and dealing with its real world effects is Hogg’s signature issue. In a letter to colleagues in the environmental movement he wrote, “I am considering this candidacy, in part, because I believe it is long past time for Congress to act on climate change. By running, I would give voters a chance to vote for climate action. As I said in my release announcing the formation of the exploratory committee, ‘If we had a Congress that worked better, we could confront the challenge of our century–climate change–through solutions that work for our economy, our health, and our environment.’”

There is expected to be a Democratic primary for U.S. Senate next year. Hogg hasn’t formally announced, and plans to use the time raising money and discussing issues with party activists, two necessary prerequisites to making a decision to run.

Here is the text of Hogg’s announcement:

Hogg forms Exploratory Committee for possible U.S. Senate run

CEDAR RAPIDS–Today, I am announcing that I have formed an exploratory committee to consider becoming a candidate for the United States Senate in 2016. Like many Iowans, I believe we need Congress to work better for all of our citizens and our country’s future. If we had a Congress that worked better, we could:

> Build a vibrant, full-employment economy that works for all Americans.
> Improve public health and public safety through prevention, prevention, and more prevention.
> Strengthen Social Security and Medicare and fulfill our commitments to seniors, veterans, and people living with disabilities.
> Confront the challenge of our century – climate change – through solutions that work for our economy, our health, and our environment.

In order to get Congress to work better, Iowans know it will require new leadership. Iowans also know it will require significant reform in the way we conduct our political campaigns.

Over the coming weeks, I look forward to visiting with Iowans across our state, to have a conversation about our Congress, our country, and our future, as I make a decision about running for the United States Senate.

For more information, please visit http://www.robhogg.org, email Senator Hogg at rob@mail.robhogg.org, write the Rob Hogg Exploratory Committee at P.O. Box 1361, Cedar Rapids, IA 52406-1361, or call the exploratory committee at 319-360-3401.

~ Written for Blog for Iowa

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Living in Society

Governing The Undocumented

Community IDIOWA CITY–Johnson County announced acceptance of applications for a new Community ID program on Wednesday. The county seeks to become more welcoming, and to resolve a practical public safety issue problem—undocumented residents prefer to stay in the shadows.

“Johnson County will be the first community in the Midwest, and the first outside a major metropolitan area, to offer community-issued identification,” according to a press release. “The Community ID program is designed to help people who may have difficulty getting a state-issued ID, such as seniors who no longer drive, the homeless, people in poverty or transition, and new immigrants. A Community ID can help these people interact with law enforcement, local government, pharmacies and banks.”

Rod Sullivan, Johnson County supervisor, explained the public safety aspect of the program in an April 9 email.

Why do we need a Community ID? I have a very personal story. After years of doing nothing, a few years ago, the board of supervisors finally began taking action against the criminals that own Regency Mobile Home Park. State law severely limits the ability of the board to intervene, but there were dozens of credible reports of fraud coming from Regency.

Johnson County detectives swooped in, gathered all the info they could, and began following up on leads. Then they ran into a stone wall. Most of the people they needed to speak with refused to talk to them. These folks saw law enforcement coming, and they went the other way–even when they were innocent victims!

I spoke at length with the lead detective on the case, and he said that this avoidance of law enforcement was common. When I asked why, he said it all came back to a lack of ID.

This illustrates the number one reason for instituting a Community ID – public safety. We need victims and witnesses to come forward in order to solve crimes and see to it that justice is served. The Community ID will help with this.

There have already been hundreds of applications for Community IDs. The program requires both documentary proof of identity and proof of residency. It is an open question whether the victims and witnesses Sullivan referred to will actually come forward to secure a Community ID, or change their behavior.

In an unrelated incident undocumented immigrants made news Wednesday when Rep. Steve King (R-Kiron) condemned the concept of “Sanctuary City” for the umpteenth time in the wake of the murder of Kate Steinle in San Francisco. The accused is a seven-time felon who has been deported to Mexico five times, according to the story.

“Sanctuary cities exist because of the left, because of the open border policy,” King told Newsmax. “Yes, there is blood on their hands and San Francisco is at fault. All of California is a sanctuary state today, and many states have these jurisdictions like this.”

Having a Community ID is not the same as being a Sanctuary City, but it may represent what is possible in governing the undocumented.

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Living in Society

Lincoln Chafee In A Small Field

That Lincoln Chafee’s presidential campaign gets noticed is largely attributable to the small field of five announced Democratic contenders. Just by the fact of inclusive blogger to-do lists, Chafee gets an article mention here and there… not unlike this one.

Maybe it would be best if Chafee became president and imposed his will on a disgruntled nation. “Dammit,” he might say, “we’re switching to the metric system, and that’s that.”

Not really. As Arlo Guthrie said, “we have to solve our problems the way we made them, inch by inch, and mile by mile.”

If Chafee has been to Iowa this year, it was a forgettable moment. When he speaks at the Iowa Democratic Party Hall of Fame Dinner in Cedar Rapids on July 17, Democratic eyes will be watching just by the fact of his being there. For my part, I hope the event is broadcast on YouTube or CSPAN, as I am already scheduled to volunteer at my local community town festival that night. Politics takes a holiday for that.

Chafee’s views are Democratic ones, according to his website. He hammers Hillary Clinton for her vote for the Iraq War, and as the only Republican senator to vote against authorization, Chafee has standing to do so. But what else Lincoln Chafee? What differentiates your campaign?

Maybe the metric system is it.

~ Written for Blog for Iowa

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Living in Society

On Jim Webb for President

Marine Corps SealJim Webb announced his campaign for president via email to supporters July 2, cross posted it on his web site and social media, then spent the Independence Day holiday weekend with family in his home state of Virginia.

When the Des Moines Register posted an article titled, “Presidential hopefuls discuss patriotism on July 4th,” the Webb campaign submitted the Marine Corps seal as his response. There was a caption referring to Webb’s combat service in Vietnam, but the seal was the submission according to the Register.

If Webb has a natural constituency, I am part of it. We share common roots in western Virginia, we both felt a duty to serve our country in the military, we both had ancestors who served on both sides of the Civil War, and we both believe the Scots-Irish heritage is an important American legacy that continues to be influential. Because his campaign is so different, I’m not sure what to make of it.

I expect to find out.

What we know is the East Coast liberal establishment has not taken to Webb as a Democratic candidate for president.

Barbara Morrill of Daily Kos had eight words for Webb, “Good luck Jim, You’re going to need it,” and posted a link to polling that showed Webb at the back of the heap at 1.2 percent, ahead of only Lincoln Chafee who was at zero.

David Corn of Mother Jones took umbrage with Webb from the git go.

Perhaps the most favorable East Coast establishment liberal article came from Alex Seitz-Wald of MSNBC, who wrote,

The former senator, author, decorated Marine combat veteran and Navy secretary is a true maverick. He’s a rebel who refuses to play by Washington’s rules, and he has excited some liberals with his anti-conformist ethos.

Webb’s refusal to play by the rules, and his willingness to break with convention, is considered refreshing in an age of deep dissatisfaction with politics. But it also means he often ends up alone, as when he defended the Confederate flag after the shooting massacre last month at a historically black church in Charleston, South Carolina.

By throwing out the political playbook and letting seven months pass by without building a real campaign infrastructure, Webb went from being the first potential candidate to declare an exploratory committee to being the 15th candidate to officially enter the race.

And his ideological heterodoxy and refusal to comport to anybody’s doctrine makes it unclear where he stands in a Democratic field that has so far broken down cleanly along ideological lines.

In a canvass of likely caucus-goers in the Peoples Republic of Johnson County over the last few days, I found a lot of people have established camp with a candidate. By that reckoning, Webb’s delay, from last November when he formed his exploratory committee to his announcement, cost him support in this and probably other liberal centers of the state.

Webb 2016 has a steep climb to get a share of Johnson County delegates, but it may not matter much. Johnson County is an island in a sea of disgruntled Iowa voters and that’s where Webb’s opportunity to pick up delegates may be.

Among Iowa Democrats, delegates matter most in the caucuses, and the smart money is on activating people so as to maximize delegate count. Webb could target historically neglected and disaffected Democrats, including those in conservative areas, as a tactic to garner delegates. There may be a winning path, but at this point, who knows what Webb has in mind for strategy and tactics given his close to the breast style?

I spoke to both Joe Stanley, Webb’s Iowa campaign coordinator, and Craig Crawford, his communications director in Clinton June 26. Both Stanley and Crawford are long-time friends of Webb. Crawford summed up the situation, “We will need people, lots of people.”

Webb surrounded himself with people he can trust for the campaign, but in Clinton, the focus was on whether, when and where to announce. In the audience were cousins from Cedar Rapids, and three former Marines, including at least one who was in his Vietnam combat unit.

Fox news is the only media outlet quoting an unnamed source saying Webb planned to announce his bid for the presidency at the Clinton County Democrats Hall of Fame Dinner. For those who understand Iowa Democratic politics, that makes no sense. Even if it were true, county party chair Jean Pardee’s reading a letter from Bernie Sanders to those gathered, and Senator Amy Klobuchar devoting half her 23 minute speech to advocating for Hillary Clinton were both very predictable at a high visibility county party event.

Where does that leave Webb 2016? His campaign tag line is “Leadership You Can Trust.” One has to believe he’s serious about running, given his personal character. From here the path leads to gaining enough trust among Democratic caucus-goers and primary voters to win some early states. If the liberal establishment has been dismissive of Webb’s campaign, he may be relying on family, friends, veterans and an extensive personal network to secure the nomination. It should be engaging to see how he expands his network and gains trust, and if that’s possible.

Webb’s campaign strikes me as pure Appalachia. To understand him we may need to get back to his roots, and keep on the sunny side.

~ Written for Blog for Iowa

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Living in Society

Hillary and the Golden Road

Hillary PrideThe energy and excitement of Hillary Clinton’s Iowa organizers is very high. On a scale of 1-10, it’s a 16.

In May I met with Clinton campaign organizer Janice Rottenberg at the North Dodge Hy-Vee in Iowa City. She was busy on a conference call when I arrived ten minutes early.

Her handshake was firm, her voice confident, her manner enthusiastic. Rottenberg is an experienced political activist who demonstrated ownership in the Clinton campaign. From past campaigns I recognize one or two others like her in Clinton 2016. Between those I know personally and those I know through social media, they are sunlight diamonds who put on their wings to engage in politics. They seem to like the work very much.

If people like Rottenberg are the face of the Clinton campaign, Hillary will be hard to beat in the Iowa caucuses. They represent the polar opposite of what Iowa Democrats had become, bringing a positive, youthful energy to what otherwise have been desultory meetings among aging party operatives. They bring the party with them, and in doing so have the potential to elevate the Iowa Democratic Party.

If one doesn’t know where Hillary Clinton stands on an issue, the problem is likely with that person. For goodness sake, she has been around so long, and everywhere in the media. She has been part of the public conversation on a wide range of issues since the 1996 publication of her book, It Takes a Village.

That may be the flaw in the Clinton campaign: people feel they know her too well. In Iowa we like to survey the whole field before caucusing for someone, and while we know Hillary, we are also curious about the others.

It was with some regret I told Janice that Hillary was my second choice. I’m confident she entered that in a database soon afterward, probably before she left Hy-Vee.

As I returned to my car to drive the nine miles home, I thought about how my views on political campaigns had changed, and about the Golden Road (To Unlimited Devotion).

Hey hey, hey, come right away,
Come and join the party every day;
Hey hey, hey, come right away,
Come and join the party every day.

~ Written for Blog for Iowa

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Living in Society

O’Malley Re-enters The Battle

OMalleyOne has to credit former governor Martin O’Malley—he listened.

After a lackluster and downright dull answer to a question about reducing greenhouse gas emissions at a house party in Mount Vernon last month, he now has a clearly defined plan to act on climate.

An audience member in Mount Vernon asked O’Malley what he would do as president about CO2 and methane emissions. The answer should have been easy.

President Obama presented the U.S. plan for reduction of greenhouse gas emissions to the United Nations Climate Change Conference, or 21st Conference of the Parties in Paris this December. The plan relies on the Clean Power Plan advanced by the Environmental Protection Agency for most of the proposed reductions. All O’Malley had to say was, “I support the Clean Power Plan” to satisfy climate voters. He didn’t.

Instead of a simple answer, he changed the question to one about “climate change.” He enumerated 15 things he did as governor to address climate change. It was an admirable punch list, but reducing CO2 and methane emissions is not the same thing.

He missed the point of the question and gave an answer that muddied the water on his climate change position.

Since then, he went into his fortress of solitude equivalent and came up with a plan to combat climate change focused on transitioning the U.S. electricity generating capacity to renewable sources by 2050. He is visiting Iowa this weekend to roll out his plan.

If you don’t think bird dogging candidates in the early caucus and primary states makes a difference, O’Malley’s adjustment reminds us of why being first in the nation matters.

Or does it?

O’Malley polled at three percent among likely Iowa Democratic caucus goers in today’s Quinnipiac University poll—less than the margin of error. While he may be doing the right things in Iowa—securing commitment cards, listening and adjusting positions, shaking hands, and answering questions—it doesn’t matter unless he can generate more buzz around his campaign.

He’s fighting a battle to gain recognition and create excitement that may not be winnable given his personality. He’s an excellent story teller, and I heard he sings and plays the guitar. It seems clear people don’t like the O’Malley narrative enough to commit to his campaign, even if they have heard it.

It’s still early, and people could line up behind his policy positions, which are mainstream Democratic. But a big shell from the Clinton-Sanders artillery could easily take him out, leaving him behind to lament:

~ Written for Blog for Iowa

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Living in Society

What an Iowa Progressive Reads

Summer Reading
Summer Reading

Most millennials I know don’t subscribe to cable television or read many books. That’s not to say they are uninformed, just that with the explosion of the Internet after the mid-1990s, there is so much to occupy one’s attention and keep current, and not all of it is reading.

That progressives read, and who we read, makes a difference. Here is my list of people to consider. Maybe readers will find something new to add to yours. If I’m missing someone important, please comment below.

Reading local newspapers is a must. I subscribe to the Iowa City Press Citizen (digital version), and the Solon Economist on newsprint. Whatever arguments one may have with the editorial viewpoint of a specific newspaper, understanding what is going on in the community has few better sources. Always of interest are the opinions, obituaries, front page and community calendar sections.

Supplementing local news is a set of RSS feeds (using Feedly) that expands into Iowa. I subscribe to Radio Iowa, John Deeth’s Blog, Art Cullen’s editorials at The Storm Lake Times, Frank D. Myers’ The Lucas Countyan, Mike Owens’s Iowa Policy Project blog, Chris Liebig’s A Blog About School, Cindy Hadish’s Homegrown Iowan, and The Iowa Farm Bureau’s Farm Fresh Blog.

If readers haven’t dozed off, there are some more progressive-sounding things to consider reading.

Des Moines is a cornucopia of political writing. While steering clear of capitol city politics most of the time, it would be a disservice to omit them completely from a progressive reading list.

The Des Moines writer to whom a subscription is essential with reading high on the list is Ed Fallon. Not because we agree with every word that comes out of his mouth, we don’t, but because of the range of his topics. Find him and links to his other publications here.

In the also ran category are the Iowa Daily Democrat, Michael Libbie’s Sunday Morning Coffee (for the gossip), The Iowa Starting Line, and she who must not be named.

There are more in Des Moines, I suppose. John Deeth continues to highly recommend following Craig Robinson’s blog to stay apprised of the competition, but progressive competition is more with Netflix, craft beers, vintage clothing, restaurant food and other distractions from politics, so I take a pass.

Finally, there is Twitter, the source of all things banal and some profound, trending toward the former. Today’s Blog for Iowa faves include:

Locals: @Bmkimz; @suedvorsky1; @LJYanney; @janicero; @JeffRBiggers; @AriBerman; @mistyrebik; @Deborah_Donohoe; @witsenddaily; @johndeeth; @LyndaIowa.

Nationals: @unreasonable; @ThePlumLineGS; @jimcason; @David_Shorr; @DavidCulpDC.

If you want to stay abreast of what POTUS is doing in the real world, @markknoller.

And of course, don’t forget to subscribe, follow or bookmark BlogforIowa.com. We’re now on Twitter @blogforiowa and Facebook too, https://www.facebook.com/blogforiowa.

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Living in Society

A Case of Bernie

Iowa Row Crops
Iowa Row Crops

Editor’s Note: Trish Nelson is taking time off and will return to regular posting on Blog for Iowa after Labor Day. Here is my first offering in an effort to fill her shoes as we enter high summer in the land of corn, conversation and caucuses).

For those who remember the political environment before Blog for Iowa’s humble beginnings in 2004, politics has changed. Enter Bernie Sanders for president.

David Corn of Mother Jones recently wrote about Sanders’ long-time relationship with Tad Devine of Devine Mulvey Longabaugh, and his strategy to win the Democratic nomination for president. The article is worth a read.

“Sanders has survived and thrived in politics by neutralizing negative ads and resisting the urge to attack,” Corn reported. Resisting negative attack ads has been a hallmark of Sanders’ previous campaigns.

Progressives have the 2016 presidential election to lose if the primary turns into a frenzy of negative publicity. Corn asserts Sanders has a proven way of approaching the electorate in a positive manner. Sanders’ methods seem similar to what Iowa Republicans did to elect Senator Joni Ernst: bypass the television and go directly to voters with a strong narrative.

Some of us recall political consultants James Carville and his rapid response operation, and Joe Trippi and his book The Revolution Will Not Be Televised: Democracy, The Internet, and the Overthrow of Everything. They seemed revolutionary at the time, even if their stars have faded. Rapid response and use of the Internet in campaigns have been assimilated as boilerplate campaign tools, and to a large extent have been eclipsed by the power of unlimited money in politics.

Sanders has disdain for unlimited money in politics and rejects super PACs, successfully focusing fundraising efforts on smaller, individual campaign contributions. Progressives like Sanders because of it.

All five Democratic presidential hopefuls agree there is a problem with Citizens United and the influx of unlimited money from a small number of donors. They differ in approach to solving the problem, and the bottom line is, as Elisabeth MacNamara, president of The League of Women Voters of the United States said recently in Des Moines, there is no political will to amend the constitution regarding Citizens United.

Sanders’ opposition to super PACs has done little to stop them from forming to support his candidacy. In a Burlington Free Press article, author Nicole Gaudiano quoted Sanders:

“I have not sanctioned any super PAC,” Sanders said in an interview. “A major problem of our campaign finance system is that anybody can start a super PAC on behalf of anybody and can say anything. And this is what makes our current campaign finance situation totally absurd.”

His comments notwithstanding, PACs like Progressive Democrats for America and Bet on Bernie 2016 hope to raise millions to support Sanders’ campaign. The former designed a two-fold, web-based donation platform where a donor can contribute directly to Sanders’ campaign and to the PAC with a few easy clicks.

Will the nuanced approach Sanders used previously regarding going negative in campaigns be possible during the Democratic primary/caucus season? How will he parse the tendentious issue of money in politics when his campaign must raise about $50 million for the primary campaign?

Sanders’ supporters I know have not thought much about this. There is social buzz about Sanders where his every word is like a drop of wine. Will Sanders still be standing after his supporters drink a case?


~ Written for Blog for Iowa

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Living in Society

Clinton County Democrats Hall of Fame Dinner

Jim Webb Sign
Jim Webb Sign

CLINTON—Every parking spot at Gil’s Restaurant, Ballroom and Limousine Service was filled, so latecomers had to park on the grass next to the road leading to the Clinton County Democrats Hall of Fame Dinner on Friday.

A few Jim Webb ’16 signs marked the way. The one term Virginia senator, author and Vietnam combat veteran was keynote speaker. His staff had been in town for a couple of days helping Jean Pardee, county chair, and the local Democrats make final preparations. Pardee characterized turnout as “good,” and the room was filled.

Gil's Ballroom
Gil’s Ballroom

A satellite remote truck was parked near the building, indicating national interest in what would normally have been, except for the February 2016 Iowa caucuses, a nondescript annual political event. As I approached, I took off my name tag from the warehouse and put it in my pocket.

The Webb campaign had paid for my ticket after I introduced myself to Iowa organizer Joe Stanley via twitter. The campaign is not well known in Iowa outside political activists. That afternoon I ran into a former chair of the Johnson County Democrats, and he knew my alignment with Webb from previous conversations. He wasn’t hearing much about the campaign either.

During a brief chat with Craig Crawford, Webb 2016 communications director, near the bar, he summed up the situation, “We need people, lots of people.”

Webb surrounded himself with people he can trust for the campaign. Both Stanley and Crawford are long-time friends. In the audience were cousins from Cedar Rapids, and three former Marines, including at least one who was in his Vietnam combat unit.

Clinton County Democrats Hall of Fame Dinner
Clinton County Democrats Hall of Fame Dinner

I don’t think Webb expected Iowa politics to be what it is. A day or so before the event, Senator Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn) was scheduled as a speaker. She spent half of her speech advocating for Hillary Clinton. Too, Pardee read a letter from Senator Bernie Sanders (I-Vermont) who was unable to attend. There was no O’Malley or Chafee presence at the event. Despite the friendly competition, Webb had a chance to get his message out both time-wise and by exposure in the run up to the event.

Second District Congressman Dave Loebsack spoke after Dr. Andy McGuire, Iowa Democratic Party chair. Some of us hear Loebsack speak so often the themes and tales are very familiar. What stood out about Loebsack’s speech was his underscoring how the next president would impact the judiciary. He or she may have an opportunity to appoint as many as four U.S. Supreme Court judges. That matters to Democrats according to Loebsack.

Six members of the local party were inducted into the Hall of Fame. Distinct from my home county, they were honored for their grassroots work to elect Democrats, and their acceptance speeches were very brief with some saying less than a dozen words. Perhaps Merlin Schmidt said the most, recounting how the first president he voted for was Harry Truman. Schmidt was glad Truman dropped the atomic bomb on Japan. He claimed his life could have been saved by this action, even though historians have debunked the idea that dropping the bomb saved lives.

The Cedar County Democrats made me an honorary member for the night and I sat with chair Larry Hodgden, treasurer Laura Twing, and U.S. Senate candidate Tom Fiegen. Our most animated conversation was about guns after I mentioned that Colt Manufacturing had filed for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy. Colt made the .45 caliber revolver I carried in the military and the M-16 on which I was an expert marksman. Their AR-15 is very popular with local militia types and loss of their military contract led to Colt’s demise. While “Second Amendment Rights” doesn’t carry the same cache among Democrats, most knew people with gun collections, including assault rifles, and it is an accepted part of Iowa life.

I left without getting “a moment” with the candidate. I had to be at work in the morning and it was more than an hour drive along the Lincoln Highway. If Webb decides he is running for president, there will be plenty of chances for that.

The towns along Highway 30 have become a part of my life. Grand Mound, Wheatland, Calamus, Lowden, Clarence, Stanwood and Mechanicsville are familiar markers on the path home. I stopped in Clarence to use a rest room and grab a beverage to quench my thirst. Unlike some, my thirst for politics can be quenched by attending an occasional political event.

Despite the odds against him, I would like to see Jim Webb run. He is supposed to decide during the next few days.

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Summer Arrives as SCOTUS Rules

U.S. Supreme Court
U.S. Supreme Court

Another sign summer has arrived is the release of opinions by the United States Supreme Court as they end the current session. Yesterday they ruled on King v. Burwell, and on Texas Dept. of Housing and Community Affairs v. Inclusive Communities Project, Inc., two significant cases on the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, and on housing discrimination respectively. Earlier in the week SCOTUS issued rulings in City of Los Angeles v. Patel, and Kimble v. Marvel Entertainment LLC.

The supremes are just getting started and my view is to hunker down in the bunker until all of the opinions are out there.

Most of my friends are interested in the imminent ruling on Obergefell v. Hodges, which has the potential to clear the way for marriage equality in all 50 states.

Glossip v. Gross will opine as to whether lethal injection of midazolam causes cruel and unusual punishment banned by the Constitution; Arizona State Legislature v. Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission in which Republicans want redistricting (a.k.a. gerrymandering) done by the legislature rather than by an independent commission; Utility Air Regulatory Group v. EPA et. al. in which coal companies and power plants challenge new EPA rules regarding mercury, nickel and arsenic; and Johnson v. U.S., in which white supremacist Samuel Johnson complains about his sentence being increased from 10 to 15 years in compliance with U.S. law. There are others.

Once all of these rulings have been released, there is a lot to consider.

Here’s the brief point of this post. The members of the Supreme Court will change over the next ten years. By birth year, the four oldest justices are Ginsburg (1933), Scalia (1936), Kennedy (1936) and Breyer (1938), and as many as all of them might retire or die during the next president’s term in office. Whoever is elected president will have a chance to remake the supreme court in a way that will have lasting implications.

That’s why the 2016 presidential election matters, and is reason to engage not only in first in the nation Iowa, but all over. This decision is a lot more important than what beverage to take to the beach or which sandals to buy as summer begins.